Gremio 1-2 Vasco DA Gama: result and AI prediction

AI match recap

This is a direct survival contest, with Grêmio’s home record colliding with Vasco’s damaging away run. The hosts have the stronger local precedent in this fixture, yet their squad is stretched and Pavón’s absence takes away a proven wide outlet. Vasco have their own missing players, but their crossing game gives them a clear way to test a depleted Grêmio defensive unit. Expect a tense match in which set-pieces, second balls and the late stages carry outsized importance.

Head-to-head analysis

This has been a home-friendly fixture in the supplied recent sequence: Grêmio have won each of the latest five meetings staged at Arena do Grêmio. Vasco won the reverse league meeting earlier this season, however, so the wider rivalry is not one-sided.

Injuries and absences

Grêmio’s reported absences are concentrated in areas needed to defend transitions and generate width, with Pavón’s suspension especially limiting their flank threat. Vasco are also weakened through the spine and defence, making their protection of the box and of second phases after crosses a major concern.

Form (last 5)

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama stats

Last meetings

• 2026-03-22Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Gremio
• 2025-11-20Gremio 2-0 Vasco DA Gama
• 2025-07-19Vasco DA Gama 1-1 Gremio
• 2024-07-28Gremio 1-0 Vasco DA Gama
• 2024-04-14Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Gremio
• 2023-12-03Gremio 1-0 Vasco DA Gama

Unavailable players

Other Brasileirão matches

• Coritiba – Atletico Paranaense
• Atletico-MG – Fluminense
• Chapecoense-sc – Internacional
• Palmeiras – Sao Paulo
• Botafogo – RB Bragantino
• Santos – Cruzeiro
• Mirassol – Vitoria
• Flamengo – Corinthians