Sao Paulo 1-2 Santos: result and AI prediction

Sao Paulo – Santos, Brasileirão, Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM (GMT). Venue: Morumbi

Sao Paulo is #11 in the table (36 pts) and Santos #8 (38 pts). Santos is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Sao Paulo 2, draws 1, Santos 3. Their last meeting, on February 4, 2026, ended Santos 1-1 Sao Paulo. Absent for Sao Paulo: D. Bobadilla, Jonathan Calleri, Lucas Moura +2. Absent for Santos: A. Barreal, Coutinho, Gabriel Bontempo +5.

Sao PauloSao Paulo
Final score1 - 2
SantosSantos
AI predicted: 2-1 · Final score: 1-2Missed

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a tightly poised San-São between nearby sides in the table, with Santos bringing the better recent league momentum and São Paulo carrying a major home-ground edge. The hosts have had time to rehearse Dorival’s structure during the break, but they must replace Calleri’s penalty-box presence and reorganise a depleted defence. Santos lack Neymar and Luan Peres, yet their likely front pairing offers a sharper counterattacking threat. Set-pieces, wing-back territory and the effectiveness of São Paulo’s improvised forward line should shape the derby.

Head-to-head analysis

Recent San-São meetings have been competitive and venue-sensitive: São Paulo have taken notable home wins, but Santos have also produced narrow results in the rivalry. Their most recent league meeting ended level, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight tactical contest.

Injuries and absences

Calleri’s suspension is São Paulo’s clearest structural loss, while Duarte’s absence disrupts the centre-back unit and Buta reduces wide defensive cover. For Santos, Neymar’s absence removes their principal individual creator and Luan Peres’s suspension forces a defensive adjustment; Arão’s reported return would soften that problem.

Form (last 5)

Sao PauloLeague position #11 · 36 ptsW L W
SantosLeague position #8 · 38 ptsW W W

Sao Paulo vs Santos stats

Sao PauloSantos
Played2727
Goals scored3241
Goals conceded3040
Clean sheets66

Last meetings

  • 2026-02-04Santos 1-1 Sao Paulo
  • 2026-01-31Sao Paulo 2-0 Santos
  • 2025-09-21Santos 1-0 Sao Paulo
  • 2025-04-20Sao Paulo 2-1 Santos
  • 2025-02-01Santos 3-1 Sao Paulo
  • 2024-02-14Sao Paulo 0-1 Santos

Unavailable players

Sao Paulo

D. Bobadilla, Jonathan Calleri, Lucas Moura, Lucca Marques, D. Duarte

Santos

A. Barreal, Coutinho, Gabriel Bontempo, Gabriel Brazao, Luan Peres, Neymar, Vinicius Lira, Willian Arao

Other Brasileirão matches