Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia prediction

Cherno More Varna – Septemvri Sofia, First League, Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Ticha Stadium

Cherno More Varna is #14 in the table (6 pts) and Septemvri Sofia #13 (8 pts). Cherno More Varna has not won any of its last 5 matches. Septemvri Sofia has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Cherno More Varna 4, draws 2, Septemvri Sofia 0. Their last meeting, on March 7, 2026, ended Septemvri Sofia 0-3 Cherno More Varna.

Cherno More Varna

03:00 PM

Septemvri Sofia

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a significant early-season meeting between two sides near the bottom, with Cherno More seeking to turn home territory into a much-needed result. Septemvri arrive in worse immediate form and have struggled to create consistently away from Sofia, while Cherno More bring the stronger recent head-to-head record. Neither defence has supplied much reassurance, so discipline around set-pieces and avoiding cheap turnovers matter more than expansive football. The home side have the clearer route to control, but their own recent league form keeps the contest uncomfortable.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Cherno More are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Septemvri, winning five of them. At Ticha, the recent series includes comfortable Cherno More victories as well as one draw.

Form (last 5)

Cherno More VarnaLeague position #14 · 6 ptsD D L

Septemvri SofiaLeague position #13 · 8 ptsL L L

Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia stats

	Cherno More Varna	Septemvri Sofia
Played	11	11
Goals scored	11	10
Goals conceded	22	21
Clean sheets	0	2

Last meetings

2026-03-07Septemvri Sofia 0-3 Cherno More Varna
2025-09-27Cherno More Varna 1-1 Septemvri Sofia
2024-11-29Septemvri Sofia 1-2 Cherno More Varna
2024-07-29Cherno More Varna 2-0 Septemvri Sofia
2023-03-17Cherno More Varna 3-0 Septemvri Sofia
2022-09-05Septemvri Sofia 0-0 Cherno More Varna