Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Bayern München – Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 05:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Allianz Arena

Bayern München is #2 in the table (14 pts) and Borussia Dortmund #1 (17 pts). It's a clash between two of the top four. Bayern München is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Borussia Dortmund is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Bayern München averages 3.7 goals per match this season. Borussia Dortmund has kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a table-shaping Klassiker between two unbeaten league sides, but Bayern bring a formidable home attack and the recent head-to-head edge. Dortmund arrive with momentum after their win over Frankfurt, yet their cup assignment beforehand compresses an already demanding week. Bayern’s injury list removes several established leaders and creators, so Kane, Olise and the replacement spine have to turn territorial control into clear chances. Dortmund’s compact defending and quick breaks towards Guirassy are the clearest route to disrupting the hosts.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Bayern have avoided defeat across the last five Klassiker meetings and won the most recent Super Cup encounter. The recent series has also regularly produced openings for both attacks, rather than consistently becoming a low-event tactical stalemate.

Injuries and absences

The reported Bayern absences are materially more disruptive: Neuer, Kim, Kimmich and Musiala affect the goalkeeper, defensive, midfield and creative spine, while Díaz removes a wide attacking option. Dortmund’s reported absences reduce depth, but the latest probable side retains Kobel, Schlotterbeck, Ryerson, Sabitzer and Guirassy.

Form (last 5)

Bayern MünchenLeague position #2 · 14 ptsW D W
Borussia DortmundLeague position #1 · 17 ptsD D W

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund stats

Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
Played67
Goals scored2212
Goals conceded54
Clean sheets25

Last meetings

  • 2026-08-22Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern München
  • 2026-02-28Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern München
  • 2025-10-18Bayern München 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2025-04-12Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2024-11-30Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Bayern München
  • 2024-03-30Bayern Munich 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

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