FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen: result and AI prediction

FSV Mainz 05 – Bayer Leverkusen, Bundesliga, Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (GMT). Venue: MEWA Arena

FSV Mainz 05 is #6 in the table (7 pts) and Bayer Leverkusen #5 (7 pts). Bayer Leverkusen is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. FSV Mainz 05 averages 2.5 goals per match this season. Bayer Leverkusen averages 2.5 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: FSV Mainz 05 0, draws 2, Bayer Leverkusen 4. Their last meeting, on February 28, 2026, ended Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 FSV Mainz 05.

AI predicted: 1-2 · Final score: 3-4✓ Correct outcome

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a tightly matched table meeting, but Leverkusen arrive with the clearer attacking structure and stronger recent defensive rhythm. Mainz can make MEWA Arena uncomfortable through pressure, wing-back width and Amiri’s work between the lines, yet their goalkeeper and centre-back absences change the security of their defensive shape. Leverkusen’s own away record prevents this from being straightforward, particularly if Maza is limited after international duty. Expect a fast, confrontational contest in which midfield turnovers and the wide areas decide the key moments.

Head-to-head analysis

Leverkusen are unbeaten across the most recent meetings, with several high-scoring encounters and late momentum swings. Mainz have still shown they can hurt Leverkusen at MEWA Arena, so the history supports an open, volatile matchup rather than a one-sided one.

Injuries and absences

Zentner and Kohr are the most consequential confirmed Mainz losses because they weaken communication through the goalkeeper-centre-back axis. Leverkusen lose Kofane’s forward option and Doué’s natural right-back cover, while Maza’s late ankle check is the principal selection issue.

Form (last 5)

FSV Mainz 05League position #6 · 7 ptsW L W
Bayer LeverkusenLeague position #5 · 7 ptsW D W

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen stats

FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Played44
Goals scored1010
Goals conceded65
Clean sheets22

Last meetings

  • 2026-02-28Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-10-18FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2025-05-17FSV Mainz 05 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2025-01-14Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-02-23Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2023-09-30FSV Mainz 05 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Unavailable players

FSV Mainz 05

D. Kohr, Silas, R. Zentner, P. Nebel, O. Ruoppi, S. Widmer

Bayer Leverkusen

M. Culbreath, G. Doue, C. Kofane, K. Eichhorn

Other Bundesliga matches