AS Roma 3-4 Real Madrid: result and AI prediction

AS Roma – Real Madrid, Champions League, Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Stadio Olimpico

AS Roma is #18 in the table (1 pts) and Real Madrid #13 (3 pts). Last 5 head-to-head meetings: AS Roma 0, draws 0, Real Madrid 5. Their last meeting, on November 27, 2018, ended AS Roma 0-2 Real Madrid. Absent for AS Roma: M. Bah, M. Svilar, B. Cristante +1. Absent for Real Madrid: R. Asencio, Eder Militao, F. Mendy +1.

AS RomaAS Roma
Final score3 - 4
Real MadridReal Madrid
AI predicted: 1-2 · Final score: 3-4✓ Correct outcome

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Roma return to the Olimpico needing to turn a spirited start into a landmark European result, but they face a Madrid side carrying superior attacking depth even with several absences. Gasperini’s side have the home intensity, wing-back width and Dybala’s creativity to make this uncomfortable. The decisive issue is likely to be Roma’s protection in transition, particularly with reserve goalkeeper Gollini deputising for Svilar. Madrid’s pace in the channels gives them the sharper route to decide an open match.

Head-to-head analysis

Real Madrid have had the clear upper hand in the recent Champions League series, winning the latest meetings while Roma failed to find the net. That history matters less than the current tactical match-up, but it reinforces the visitors’ comfort in this fixture.

Injuries and absences

Svilar’s absence is Roma’s most disruptive loss because Gollini must face a forward line designed to create high-value chances in transition. Madrid are also missing key defenders, which gives Roma a genuine opening to target the flanks and unsettle an altered back line.

Form (last 5)

AS RomaLeague position #18 · 1 ptsD
Real MadridLeague position #13 · 3 ptsW

AS Roma vs Real Madrid stats

AS RomaReal Madrid
Played11
Goals scored12
Goals conceded11
Clean sheets00

Last meetings

  • 2018-11-27AS Roma 0-2 Real Madrid
  • 2018-09-19Real Madrid 3-0 AS Roma
  • 2018-08-08Real Madrid 2-1 AS Roma
  • 2016-03-08Real Madrid 2-0 AS Roma
  • 2016-02-17AS Roma 0-2 Real Madrid

Unavailable players

AS Roma

M. Bah, M. Svilar, B. Cristante, K. Koulierakis

Real Madrid

R. Asencio, Eder Militao, F. Mendy, Rodrygo

Other Champions League matches