RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction

RB Leipzig – Manchester City, Champions League, Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig is #30 in the table (3 pts) and Manchester City #10 (6 pts). 20 places separate the two teams in the table. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: RB Leipzig 1, draws 1, Manchester City 4. Their last meeting, on November 28, 2023, ended Manchester City 3-2 RB Leipzig.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Manchester City travel to Leipzig as the established side in this matchup, with the market and recent head-to-head meetings both pointing their way. Leipzig need a far sharper defensive display than their early league-phase results have shown, then must turn recoveries into direct attacks before City can counter-press. The main selection issue is City’s management of workload and late fitness, while Leipzig’s reported injury lists need clarification. Cold but calm conditions should keep the contest technically clean.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

City have held the clear edge across the recent Champions League meetings, with Leipzig’s sole win in that sequence coming at home. The series has regularly produced open games and multiple decisive City attacking spells.

Injuries and absences

Semenyo’s reported extended absence removes a flexible City wide-forward and emergency central option. Reports concerning other players conflict across availability services, so the official squads are more reliable than the current aggregated lists.

Form (last 5)

RB LeipzigLeague position #30 · 3 ptsL W L
Manchester CityLeague position #10 · 6 ptsW L W

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City stats

RB LeipzigManchester City
Played33
Goals scored39
Goals conceded85
Clean sheets11

Last meetings

  • 2023-11-28Manchester City 3-2 RB Leipzig
  • 2023-10-04RB Leipzig 1-3 Manchester City
  • 2023-03-14Manchester City 7-0 RB Leipzig
  • 2023-02-22RB Leipzig 1-1 Manchester City
  • 2021-12-07RB Leipzig 2-1 Manchester City
  • 2021-09-15Manchester City 6-3 RB Leipzig

Other Champions League matches