Burnley 1-1 Derby: result and AI prediction

AI match recap

This is an early-season pressure match between two sides seeking a reset before the international break. Burnley have home control, Ramazani’s direct threat and Vardy’s arrival to lean on, but their back line has not offered much security. Derby travel with an unusually thin squad, including a goalkeeper change and a major shortage of defensive cover. The decisive pattern is likely to be whether Derby’s improvised defensive unit can contain Burnley’s wide pressure without sacrificing the counter-attacking routes toward Morris and Szmodics.

Head-to-head analysis

Burnley are unbeaten across the last ten meetings, with several of those contests ending level and Turf Moor generally proving difficult for Derby. The recent League Cup meeting was tighter than the broader historical home record suggests.

Injuries and absences

Derby’s goalkeeper change and depleted defensive options are the clearest reshaping factor, reducing continuity in both build-up and box defending. Burnley also lack depth at centre-back and in midfield, so their aggressive approach carries transition risk.

Form (last 5)

Burnley vs Derby stats

Last meetings

• 2025-08-26Burnley 2-1 Derby
• 2025-04-08Derby 0-0 Burnley
• 2024-12-10Burnley 0-0 Derby
• 2016-01-25Burnley 4-1 Derby
• 2015-09-21Derby 0-0 Burnley
• 2014-03-01Burnley 2-0 Derby

Unavailable players

Other Championship matches

• Bristol City – Watford
• Cardiff – Charlton
• Millwall – West Ham
• Stoke City – Sheffield Utd
• Birmingham – Middlesbrough
• Lincoln – Swansea
• Portsmouth – Blackburn
• QPR – Preston