Derby 1-2 Birmingham: result and AI prediction

AI match recap

This is a significant Midlands fixture for Derby, who need a response after a poor opening stretch and face Eustace’s former club. Birmingham have been harder to beat, but their draws have prevented them from pulling clear and their attacking selection is not fully settled. Derby’s extensive spine and left-side injury problems are the defining issue, especially against a Birmingham side better placed to dictate territory. Pride Park and Derby’s encouraging recent record in this pairing give the hosts a route back into the contest if they make it physical and set-piece focused.

Head-to-head analysis

Derby are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Birmingham, including a home win in the latest Pride Park encounter. Across the longer ten-match sample Derby hold the stronger record, although much of that history involves different squads and has limited predictive weight.

Injuries and absences

Derby’s absences reshape multiple lines at once: Clarke, Forsyth, Murkin and Travis weaken defensive continuity, while Brewster, Morris and Agyemang reduce attacking alternatives. Birmingham are less depleted overall, but Gray’s fitness is the major late variable and the losses of Gardner-Hickman, Leonard and Solis restrict midfield rotation.

Form (last 5)

Derby vs Birmingham stats

Last meetings

• 2026-03-21Derby 1-0 Birmingham
• 2025-12-26Birmingham 1-1 Derby
• 2022-01-30Derby 2-2 Birmingham
• 2021-09-10Birmingham 2-0 Derby
• 2021-04-24Derby 1-2 Birmingham
• 2020-12-29Birmingham 0-4 Derby

Unavailable players

Other Championship matches

• Derby – West Brom
• Norwich – Birmingham
• Charlton – QPR
• West Ham – Wrexham
• Bolton – Cardiff
• West Brom – QPR
• Blackburn – Millwall
• Charlton – Portsmouth