Jaguares 3-2 Deportes Tolima: result and AI prediction
Jaguares – Deportes Tolima, Primera A, Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM (GMT). Venue: Estadio Jaragüay De Monteria
Jaguares is #16 in the table (18 pts) and Deportes Tolima #6 (31 pts). 10 places separate the two teams in the table. Jaguares has not won any of its last 5 matches. Deportes Tolima is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Jaguares 0, draws 2, Deportes Tolima 4. Their last meeting, on March 28, 2026, ended Deportes Tolima 3-1 Jaguares.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
Jaguares enter under pressure after a poor run and must use home intensity to make this a physical, disruptive match. Tolima bring the stronger league position and a notably favourable recent head-to-head record, but arrive after another draw-heavy stretch in which goals have been hard to find. The decisive contest is likely to be Tolima’s territorial control against Jaguares’ ability to survive the first wave and launch transitions. Late team news matters, particularly after conflicting availability listings for the hosts and Tolima’s tight turnaround.
Head-to-head analysis
Tolima hold a clear recent head-to-head advantage and Jaguares have not beaten them in the recent series. The latest meeting in March was another Tolima victory, reinforcing the visitors’ tactical familiarity with this opponent.
Injuries and absences
Availability is unresolved rather than clean: FotMob lists Jaguares defender Diego Martínez suspended alongside Arcila, Hinestroza and Gil, plus Tolima midfielder Cristian Trujillo injured. Should those reports be confirmed, Jaguares lose depth in defensive and wide options, while Tolima lose a midfield ball-winning alternative.
Form (last 5)
Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima stats
| Jaguares | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 30 | 36 |
| Goals scored | 31 | 46 |
| Goals conceded | 53 | 34 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 12 |
Last meetings
- 2026-03-28Deportes Tolima 3-1 Jaguares
- 2024-08-19Jaguares 0-2 Deportes Tolima
- 2024-02-15Deportes Tolima 2-0 Jaguares
- 2023-10-06Jaguares 0-1 Deportes Tolima
- 2023-04-26Deportes Tolima 1-1 Jaguares
- 2022-08-06Deportes Tolima 2-2 Jaguares

Jaguares
Deportes Tolima