Fluminense 1-3 Vasco DA Gama: result and AI prediction

AI match recap

This is a tense Rio derby with the first leg still unresolved and little margin for a loose defensive sequence. Fluminense have home control and several inventive attackers, but their recent draws reflect a finishing problem that Vasco’s compact defence will try to extend. Vasco are better placed to absorb pressure with Thiago Mendes available again, then break through Andrés Gómez and the full-back corridors. Fluminense’s depleted centre-back unit is the issue most likely to tilt a tight match.

Head-to-head analysis

This is a genuinely balanced recent rivalry rather than a one-sided historical matchup. The opening leg was goalless, and recent meetings have included wins for both clubs alongside tight draws; Vasco also have a notable record of cup advancement against Fluminense in past knockout ties.

Injuries and absences

Fluminense’s missing Thiago Silva and Freytes are a material structural blow, forcing a less established central-defensive pairing against Vasco’s transition threat. Jemmes’ return to the squad would soften that problem, but his starting readiness is not fully clear.

Form (last 5)

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama stats

Last meetings

• 2026-08-01Vasco DA Gama 0-0 Fluminense
• 2026-03-19Vasco DA Gama 3-2 Fluminense
• 2026-03-01Fluminense 1-1 Vasco DA Gama
• 2026-02-22Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Fluminense
• 2025-12-14Fluminense 1-0 Vasco DA Gama
• 2025-12-11Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Fluminense

Other Copa Do Brasil matches

• Atletico Paranaense – Vitoria
• Juventude – Atletico-MG
• Remo – Santos
• Cruzeiro – Chapecoense-sc
• Gremio – Mirassol
• Fortaleza EC – Palmeiras
• Corinthians – Internacional
• Vitoria – Atletico Paranaense