Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction

Molde – Fredrikstad, Eliteserien, Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 06:15 PM (GMT). Venue: Aker Stadion

Molde is #3 in the table (40 pts) and Fredrikstad #9 (29 pts). Fredrikstad has not won any of its last 5 matches. Molde averages 2.3 goals per match this season. Last 5 head-to-head meetings: Molde 1, draws 2, Fredrikstad 2. Their last meeting, on September 13, 2025, ended Molde 1-2 Fredrikstad. Absent for Molde: S. Diop, S. Hansen, E. Hestad +3.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Molde bring the stronger league position, better momentum and a productive home attack into a fixture that matters in the upper part of the table. Fredrikstad have been difficult to beat in patches but have not converted recent performances into wins, and the loss of Daniel Eid narrows their options on the flank. Molde also have a lengthy injury list, so their squad depth and the final team sheet remain important. Expect the home side to establish territory early, with Fredrikstad relying on transitions and set-pieces to disrupt the pattern.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The last five meetings are mixed: Fredrikstad have won the two most recent league encounters, while Molde’s emphatic home win in the previous season shows how sharply this pairing can swing. Recent cup and league draws also underline Fredrikstad’s capacity to frustrate Molde.

Injuries and absences

Molde’s absences weaken depth across several units, particularly in midfield and wide areas, but Fredrikstad’s loss of suspended Daniel Eid is especially awkward against a home side expected to attack through the flanks. Kvile’s knee absence further limits the visitors’ defensive cover.

Form (last 5)

MoldeLeague position #3 · 40 ptsL D W
FredrikstadLeague position #9 · 29 ptsD D L

Molde vs Fredrikstad stats

MoldeFredrikstad
Played2323
Goals scored5228
Goals conceded3536
Clean sheets43

Last meetings

  • 2025-09-13Molde 1-2 Fredrikstad
  • 2025-07-12Fredrikstad 4-2 Molde
  • 2024-12-07Fredrikstad 0-0 Molde
  • 2024-09-14Molde 6-1 Fredrikstad
  • 2024-07-13Fredrikstad 0-0 Molde

Unavailable players

Molde

S. Diop, S. Hansen, E. Hestad, V. Hoff, M. Kikkenborg, H. Stenevik

Fredrikstad

D. Eid, S. Kvile, J. Nysveen

Other Eliteserien matches