Groningen 2-5 Ajax: result and AI prediction
Groningen – Ajax, Eredivisie, Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 03:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion
Groningen is #6 in the table (14 pts) and Ajax #5 (15 pts). Groningen is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Ajax is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Groningen averages 2.5 goals per match this season. Ajax averages 2.8 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Groningen 1, draws 1, Ajax 4.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
This is a tight contest between two sides separated by only a small gap in the table, with Groningen able to move above Ajax on home turf. A sold-out Euroborg and Ajax’s short turnaround from European action give Lukkien’s team a genuine platform to disrupt the visitors. Ajax retain the stronger individual attacking options, but injuries across their defensive unit and midfield-management questions make their build-up vulnerable. Expect an assertive Groningen start, followed by Ajax trying to settle the match through central possession.
Head-to-head analysis
Ajax have dominated the broader recent head-to-head record, but the latest meetings show that Euroborg can disrupt that pattern: Groningen won the home league fixture last season before Ajax answered in Amsterdam later in the campaign.
Injuries and absences
Ajax’s absences remove established options at both full-back positions and leave Míchel with fewer ways to protect his defensive flanks. Groningen are also without several squad members, but Hernes’ possible squad return would improve Lukkien’s midfield options.
Form (last 5)
Groningen vs Ajax stats
| Groningen | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 10 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Last meetings
- 2026-05-21Ajax 2-0 Groningen
- 2026-03-07Groningen 3-1 Ajax
- 2025-12-02Ajax 2-0 Groningen
- 2025-05-14Groningen 2-2 Ajax
- 2024-10-06Ajax 3-1 Groningen
- 2023-05-16Groningen 2-3 Ajax
Unavailable players
Groningen
T. Hernes, M. Jeng, T. Mercera, E. van der Laan
Ajax
S. Berghuis, D. Blind, Caio Henrique, K. Dolberg, A. Gaaei

Groningen
Ajax