Groningen 2-5 Ajax: result and AI prediction

Groningen – Ajax, Eredivisie, Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 03:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion

Groningen is #6 in the table (14 pts) and Ajax #5 (15 pts). Groningen is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Ajax is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Groningen averages 2.5 goals per match this season. Ajax averages 2.8 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Groningen 1, draws 1, Ajax 4.

GroningenGroningen
Final score2 - 5
AjaxAjax
AI predicted: 1-2 · Final score: 2-5✓ Correct outcome

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a tight contest between two sides separated by only a small gap in the table, with Groningen able to move above Ajax on home turf. A sold-out Euroborg and Ajax’s short turnaround from European action give Lukkien’s team a genuine platform to disrupt the visitors. Ajax retain the stronger individual attacking options, but injuries across their defensive unit and midfield-management questions make their build-up vulnerable. Expect an assertive Groningen start, followed by Ajax trying to settle the match through central possession.

Head-to-head analysis

Ajax have dominated the broader recent head-to-head record, but the latest meetings show that Euroborg can disrupt that pattern: Groningen won the home league fixture last season before Ajax answered in Amsterdam later in the campaign.

Injuries and absences

Ajax’s absences remove established options at both full-back positions and leave Míchel with fewer ways to protect his defensive flanks. Groningen are also without several squad members, but Hernes’ possible squad return would improve Lukkien’s midfield options.

Form (last 5)

GroningenLeague position #6 · 14 ptsD W W
AjaxLeague position #5 · 15 ptsW D D

Groningen vs Ajax stats

GroningenAjax
Played88
Goals scored2022
Goals conceded1410
Clean sheets12

Last meetings

  • 2026-05-21Ajax 2-0 Groningen
  • 2026-03-07Groningen 3-1 Ajax
  • 2025-12-02Ajax 2-0 Groningen
  • 2025-05-14Groningen 2-2 Ajax
  • 2024-10-06Ajax 3-1 Groningen
  • 2023-05-16Groningen 2-3 Ajax

Unavailable players

Groningen

T. Hernes, M. Jeng, T. Mercera, E. van der Laan

Ajax

S. Berghuis, D. Blind, Caio Henrique, K. Dolberg, A. Gaaei

Other Eredivisie matches