Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction

Benfica – Lech Poznan, Europa League, Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (GMT). Venue: TBD

Benfica is #1 in the table (9 pts) and Lech Poznan #32 (1 pts). 31 places separate the two teams in the table. Benfica is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Lech Poznan has not won any of its last 5 matches. Benfica averages 3.2 goals per match this season. Lech Poznan averages 2.3 goals per match this season.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Benfica arrive with the stronger form, home rhythm and a commanding position in the League Stage, while Lech need a much sharper European performance after a difficult start. The hosts have both depth and attacking variety, particularly through midfield control and wide rotations. Lech’s willingness to play rather than simply protect their penalty area gives them a route to threaten, but also creates space for Benfica’s press and runners. The visitors’ demanding schedule and unresolved fitness situations make a long defensive effort harder to sustain.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Benfica won both Europa League meetings between these clubs in the previous decade, and the home meeting was particularly one-sided. The sample is old, but it reinforces the scale of Lech’s task at Estádio da Luz.

Injuries and absences

No confirmed absences are listed, but Lech’s Mońka has recently missed team training with a muscle complaint, while Gumny and Sayyadmanesh have been working individually. Any of those issues carrying into the match would narrow Lech’s rotation options during a congested spell.

Form (last 5)

BenficaLeague position #1 · 9 ptsW W W
Lech PoznanLeague position #32 · 1 ptsL L D

Benfica vs Lech Poznan stats

BenficaLech Poznan
Played97
Goals scored2916
Goals conceded811
Clean sheets23

Last meetings

  • 2020-12-03Benfica 4-0 Lech Poznan
  • 2020-10-22Lech Poznan 2-4 Benfica

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