Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC prediction

Panathinaikos – AEK Athens FC, Super League 1, Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Olympic Stadium of Athens

Panathinaikos is #1 in the table (18 pts) and AEK Athens FC #2 (17 pts). It's a clash between two of the top four. AEK Athens FC is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Panathinaikos averages 2.4 goals per match this season. AEK Athens FC averages 3 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Panathinaikos 2, draws 1, AEK Athens FC 3.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is an Athens derby between the early pace-setters and an AEK side that has made a disciplined, unbeaten league start. Panathinaikos bring the sharper home attacking record and should take the initiative in front of their own support. AEK have conceded very little and are well placed to make the central spaces crowded before breaking into the channels. Final team news matters, particularly because external availability listings conflict with the supplied absence report.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

AEK have held the broader edge across the recent derby sample, but Panathinaikos have repeatedly shown they can hurt them at home. The series includes both controlled defensive games and high-scoring reversals, so match state will be decisive.

Form (last 5)

PanathinaikosLeague position #1 · 18 ptsW L W
AEK Athens FCLeague position #2 · 17 ptsW W W

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC stats

PanathinaikosAEK Athens FC
Played77
Goals scored1721
Goals conceded43
Clean sheets34

Last meetings

  • 2026-05-10AEK Athens FC 2-1 Panathinaikos
  • 2026-05-03Panathinaikos 0-0 AEK Athens FC
  • 2026-01-18AEK Athens FC 4-0 Panathinaikos
  • 2025-11-30Panathinaikos 2-3 AEK Athens FC
  • 2025-05-04AEK Athens FC 1-2 Panathinaikos
  • 2025-04-06Panathinaikos 3-1 AEK Athens FC

Other Super League 1 matches