Real Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano: result and AI prediction

AI match recap

Madrid return to the Bernabéu seeking an immediate league response, with their attacking core strengthened by several returning midfield options. Rayo arrive with Camello in form but without key creators, defensive personnel and their usual first-choice goalkeeper. The derby has recently produced stubborn Rayo performances, yet this version of the visitors faces a demanding task protecting the box for long spells. Madrid’s control after their midweek match, and Rayo’s ability to turn clearances into counters, shape the contest.

Head-to-head analysis

Madrid are unbeaten across the provided recent derby sample, but Rayo have repeatedly taken points from the fixture and have made several Bernabéu meetings uncomfortable. The pattern is of Madrid control being challenged by Rayo’s intensity, rather than a passive local derby.

Injuries and absences

Madrid lose defensive continuity without Militão and Mendy, but the return of Bernardo Silva, Güler and Camavinga improves their ability to sustain attacks. Rayo’s absences are more structurally damaging: the goalkeeper change, weakened defensive depth and loss of de Frutos, Fran Pérez and Isi remove both resistance and counter-attacking quality.

Form (last 5)

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano stats

Last meetings

• 2026-02-01Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
• 2025-11-09Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Real Madrid
• 2025-03-09Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
• 2024-12-14Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Madrid
• 2024-02-18Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Madrid
• 2023-11-05Real Madrid 0-0 Rayo Vallecano

Unavailable players

Other La Liga matches

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• Racing Santander – Alaves
• Osasuna – Espanyol
• Athletic Club – Elche
• Celta Vigo – Malaga
• Levante – Barcelona
• Getafe – Deportivo La Coruna
• Real Sociedad – Atletico Madrid