Real Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes: result and AI prediction

Real Salt Lake – San Jose Earthquakes, MLS, Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (GMT). Venue: Rio Tinto Stadium

Real Salt Lake is #11 in the table (32 pts) and San Jose Earthquakes #4 (46 pts). San Jose Earthquakes is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Real Salt Lake 3, draws 0, San Jose Earthquakes 3. Their last meeting, on July 27, 2025, ended Real Salt Lake 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes. Absent for Real Salt Lake: J. J. Arias, E. Eneli, L. Engel +3. Absent for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Adimabua, J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza, D. Johnson +2.

Real Salt Lake

Final score1 - 1

San Jose Earthquakes

AI predicted: 2-1 · Final score: 1-1Missed

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a high-stakes Western Conference fixture between an RSL side whose home performances have kept their campaign alive and a San Jose team arriving with much better recent momentum. The home side have received some returning personnel, but losing Luna and several defensive options severely reduces their margin for error. San Jose's road resilience, transition threat and stronger recent form make them dangerous throughout, even in a venue where RSL have traditionally handled this matchup well. The match should turn on whether RSL can replace Luna's chance creation before San Jose exploit the spaces outside the hosts' reshuffled back line.

Head-to-head analysis

The fixture has been volatile across recent seasons, but RSL have generally had the better of the matchup in Sandy and won the last home meeting. San Jose nevertheless recorded a convincing home victory in the reverse fixture last season, underlining how much game state and venue matter in this series.

Injuries and absences

Luna's confirmed absence removes RSL's main between-the-lines creator, while the losses of Glad, Engel, Arias and Eneli leave fewer established options for defending transitions and building from deep. San Jose also have multiple absentees, but RSL's injuries strike more directly at their spine.

Form (last 5)

Real Salt LakeLeague position #11 · 32 ptsL W L

San Jose EarthquakesLeague position #4 · 46 ptsD W D

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes stats

	Real Salt Lake	San Jose Earthquakes
Played	28	28
Goals scored	41	50
Goals conceded	46	40
Clean sheets	3	7

Last meetings

2025-07-27Real Salt Lake 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes
2025-02-23San Jose Earthquakes 4-0 Real Salt Lake
2024-10-06San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake
2024-08-25Real Salt Lake 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes
2023-09-17San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Real Salt Lake
2023-04-23Real Salt Lake 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Unavailable players