Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montreal: result and AI prediction

Toronto FC – CF Montreal, MLS, Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (GMT). Venue: BMO Field

Toronto FC is #13 in the table (29 pts) and CF Montreal #15 (24 pts). Toronto FC has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Toronto FC 3, draws 3, CF Montreal 0. Their last meeting, on July 16, 2026, ended CF Montreal 0-0 Toronto FC. Absent for Toronto FC: N. Palacio, D. Mihailovic. Absent for CF Montreal: B. Hidalgo, B. Ceballos, D. Sealy +1.

Toronto FCToronto FC
Final score2 - 1
CF MontrealCF Montreal
AI predicted: 2-1 · Final score: 2-1✓ Exact score

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Toronto come home needing to halt a poor road sequence and turn their stronger BMO Field performances into a meaningful playoff push. Montréal have renewed belief after their Cincinnati result, with Owusu arriving as their clearest penalty-box threat. Toronto’s ability to stay compact after losing possession is the defining issue, while late defensive team news on both sides could alter the balance. The derby history has recently favoured Toronto’s resilience, but the visitors have enough transition threat to keep this tense.

Head-to-head analysis

The recent derby sequence is tight but favourable to Toronto: they are unbeaten in the last five meetings, including two emphatic league wins, while the latest meeting finished scoreless. The broader rivalry remains finely balanced, so familiarity should make defensive details more important than surprise tactics.

Injuries and absences

Palacio is Toronto’s confirmed absence, while Mihailović’s disputed fitness status is significant because his availability would add another creative ball-carrier between the lines. Montréal’s confirmed loss of Hidalgo and uncertainty around Ceballos and Vera threaten continuity in the defensive unit, particularly against Toronto’s two-forward shape.

Form (last 5)

Toronto FCLeague position #13 · 29 ptsL L L
CF MontrealLeague position #15 · 24 ptsL L W

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal stats

Toronto FCCF Montreal
Played2727
Goals scored3934
Goals conceded5154
Clean sheets34

Last meetings

  • 2026-07-16CF Montreal 0-0 Toronto FC
  • 2025-08-30Toronto FC 1-1 CF Montreal
  • 2025-05-17CF Montreal 1-6 Toronto FC
  • 2025-04-30Toronto FC 2-2 CF Montreal
  • 2024-07-20CF Montreal 0-1 Toronto FC
  • 2024-05-18Toronto FC 5-1 CF Montreal

Unavailable players

Toronto FC

N. Palacio, D. Mihailovic

CF Montreal

B. Hidalgo, B. Ceballos, D. Sealy, B. Vera

Other MLS matches