Alianza Lima 3-1 Atletico Grau: result and AI prediction

Alianza Lima – Atletico Grau, Primera División, Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (GMT). Venue: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Lima is #1 in the table (59 pts) and Atletico Grau #13 (33 pts). 12 places separate the two teams in the table. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Alianza Lima 4, draws 1, Atletico Grau 1. Their last meeting, on April 26, 2026, ended Atletico Grau 0-1 Alianza Lima.

AI predicted: 3-0 · Final score: 3-1✓ Correct outcome

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Alianza Lima return to Matute needing to protect their position at the top, with a clear home advantage against a Grau side that has struggled much more on its travels. The hosts have lost Paolo Guerrero and may also be without Esteban Pavez, so Guede’s central combinations will be altered despite a strong projected lineup. Grau travel without Raúl Ruidíaz, although Pablo Lavandeira’s inclusion offers a useful creative outlet. Expect Alianza to own the ball and territory, with Grau relying on disciplined defending, counters and dead-ball moments.

Head-to-head analysis

Alianza Lima have won the two latest league encounters, including the earlier meeting this season. The broader recent series also favours Alianza, although Grau did win at home in 2024.

Injuries and absences

Guerrero’s confirmed absence removes Alianza’s established striker, while Pavez’s fitness test could force Jesús Castillo into the midfield. Grau are without Ruidíaz and Paulo de la Cruz, reducing their attacking depth, though Lavandeira’s return to the squad adds a creative alternative.

Form (last 5)

Alianza LimaLeague position #1 · 59 ptsL W W
Atletico GrauLeague position #13 · 33 ptsW L D

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau stats

Alianza LimaAtletico Grau
Played2828
Goals scored4626
Goals conceded1931
Clean sheets1110

Last meetings

  • 2026-04-26Atletico Grau 0-1 Alianza Lima
  • 2025-10-02Alianza Lima 2-1 Atletico Grau
  • 2025-05-10Atletico Grau 1-1 Alianza Lima
  • 2024-09-18Atletico Grau 1-0 Alianza Lima
  • 2024-04-15Alianza Lima 2-0 Atletico Grau
  • 2023-06-24Alianza Lima 2-0 Atletico Grau

Other Primera División matches