Bournemouth vs Leeds prediction

Bournemouth – Leeds, Premier League, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth is #17 in the table (6 pts) and Leeds #8 (10 pts). 9 places separate the two teams in the table. Leeds has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Bournemouth 1, draws 2, Leeds 3. Their last meeting, on April 22, 2026, ended Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Bournemouth have home advantage but arrive under pressure near the bottom end of the table, while Leeds have been harder to break down and sit in a healthier league position. The major pre-match issue is Leeds’ attacking availability: Calvert-Lewin, Stach and Okafor have all been recent fitness concerns, with Rodon already sidelined. Bournemouth’s most convincing route is to feed Kluivert and Evanilson in advanced areas, then prevent Leeds from turning turnovers into direct attacks. Recent meetings have been open and evenly balanced, so the first side to control second balls should set the tone.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The two most recent league encounters finished level, and the wider supplied sample has produced several high-scoring meetings. Leeds have the superior overall head-to-head record, but Bournemouth have previously punished them heavily at Vitality Stadium.

Injuries and absences

Leeds have the more consequential unresolved situation: Calvert-Lewin’s possible absence would remove their clearest central reference point, while Rodon’s confirmed layoff reduces defensive continuity. Bournemouth’s reported issues are spread across midfield, attack and defensive depth, making the confirmed teams essential before kickoff.

Form (last 5)

BournemouthLeague position #17 · 6 ptsL L W
LeedsLeague position #8 · 10 ptsD L D

Bournemouth vs Leeds stats

BournemouthLeeds
Played77
Goals scored99
Goals conceded136
Clean sheets12

Last meetings

  • 2026-04-22Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds
  • 2025-09-27Leeds 2-2 Bournemouth
  • 2023-04-30Bournemouth 4-1 Leeds
  • 2022-11-05Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
  • 2015-01-20Leeds 1-0 Bournemouth
  • 2014-09-16Bournemouth 1-3 Leeds

Other Premier League matches