Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction

Sunderland – Chelsea, Premier League, Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Stadium of Light

Sunderland is #20 in the table (4 pts) and Chelsea #4 (13 pts). 16 places separate the two teams in the table. Sunderland has not won any of its last 5 matches. Chelsea averages 2.1 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Sunderland 3, draws 0, Chelsea 3. Their last meeting, on May 24, 2026, ended Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Chelsea bring the stronger league position and a deeper possession game, while Sunderland are trying to halt a damaging run at the foot of the table. The Stadium of Light fixture carries extra edge because Sunderland have beaten Chelsea in their two latest league encounters. Sunderland’s route is intensity, direct running and set-pieces; Chelsea’s is to establish territorial control and exploit spaces created once the hosts chase the ball. The late fitness picture, especially in both attacks and at Sunderland centre-back, remains decisive.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Sunderland have won the two most recent league meetings, including the latest encounter at the Stadium of Light. The broader history is mixed, so the recent pair is more useful than older meetings involving very different squads.

Injuries and absences

The final XI matters more than the supplied absence feed suggests: Ballard’s reported issue would weaken Sunderland’s centre-back depth, while Sunderland’s striker doubts could reduce their ability to turn clearances into attacks. Chelsea’s reported late checks around João Pedro, Colwill and Reece James affect their pressing, defensive balance and wide progression.

Form (last 5)

SunderlandLeague position #20 · 4 ptsL L L
ChelseaLeague position #4 · 13 ptsW W L

Sunderland vs Chelsea stats

SunderlandChelsea
Played78
Goals scored617
Goals conceded1415
Clean sheets11

Last meetings

  • 2026-05-24Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea
  • 2025-10-25Chelsea 1-2 Sunderland
  • 2017-05-21Chelsea 5-1 Sunderland
  • 2016-12-14Sunderland 0-1 Chelsea
  • 2016-05-07Sunderland 3-2 Chelsea
  • 2015-12-19Chelsea 3-1 Sunderland

Other Premier League matches