Sunderland vs Leeds prediction

Sunderland – Leeds, Premier League, Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Stadium of Light

Sunderland is #20 in the table (4 pts) and Leeds #8 (10 pts). 12 places separate the two teams in the table. Sunderland has not won any of its last 5 matches. Leeds has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Sunderland 1, draws 3, Leeds 2. Their last meeting, on July 30, 2026, ended Sunderland 0-1 Leeds.

Sunderland

04:30 PM

Leeds

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Leeds arrive with the steadier league form, but Sunderland’s Stadium of Light crowd and need for a response make this a demanding away fixture. The home side have a serious defensive selection issue at centre-back, compounded by a midweek European commitment. Leeds also have decisive late calls in attack and midfield, so their final XI will determine whether they can turn territorial control into clear chances. Expect a tight contest in which set-pieces, wide deliveries and the quality of each side’s replacements matter heavily.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Recent meetings have been low-margin and frequently cagey, with neither side consistently imposing itself. The Stadium of Light has produced a particularly tight recent league encounter.

Injuries and absences

Sunderland’s missing central defenders are the clearest structural blow, reducing continuity against Leeds’ aerial and wide threats. Leeds can cover several doubts with Nmecha, Aaronson, Wilson and James, but Rodon’s absence still trims their defensive depth.

Form (last 5)

SunderlandLeague position #20 · 4 ptsL L L

LeedsLeague position #8 · 10 ptsD L D

Sunderland vs Leeds stats

	Sunderland	Leeds
Played	7	7
Goals scored	6	9
Goals conceded	14	6
Clean sheets	1	2

Last meetings

2026-07-30Sunderland 0-1 Leeds
2026-03-03Leeds 0-1 Sunderland
2025-12-28Sunderland 1-1 Leeds
2025-02-17Leeds 2-1 Sunderland
2024-10-04Sunderland 2-2 Leeds
2024-04-09Leeds 0-0 Sunderland

Unavailable players