Arouca 1-0 Estrela: result and AI prediction

Arouca – Estrela, Primeira Liga, Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 08:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca is #6 in the table (11 pts) and Estrela #9 (10 pts). Arouca has not won any of its last 5 matches. Arouca has kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches. Estrela averages 2 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Arouca 3, draws 1, Estrela 2. Their last meeting, on April 19, 2026, ended Arouca 1-0 Estrela.

AroucaArouca
Final score1 - 0
EstrelaEstrela
AI predicted: 2-1 · Final score: 1-0✓ Correct outcome

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Arouca have the home setting and a recent defensive edge in this fixture, but they approach it with a new head coach taking charge for the first time. Estrela arrive after a rare attacking blank, yet their season has otherwise been built on finding goals and playing open matches. The key tension is Arouca’s controlled home approach against Estrela’s willingness to attack through the wide channels. Early concentration matters most for Estrela after their slow start last time out, while Arouca need their new structure to create enough support around Barbero.

Head-to-head analysis

This is a balanced recent matchup overall, but the venue trend favours Arouca: Estrela have not won on their last three visits to Estádio Municipal de Arouca and have drawn blanks in each of them.

Injuries and absences

The supplied match data contains no confirmed absences. External team news nevertheless identifies Miguel Puche and Jeremy Arévalo as fitness concerns; neither is projected as central to the expected starting elevens, so the bigger effect is on attacking depth rather than the base shapes.

Form (last 5)

AroucaLeague position #6 · 11 ptsD L D
EstrelaLeague position #9 · 10 ptsW D L

Arouca vs Estrela stats

AroucaEstrela
Played77
Goals scored1014
Goals conceded714
Clean sheets30

Last meetings

  • 2026-04-19Arouca 1-0 Estrela
  • 2025-12-07Estrela 3-1 Arouca
  • 2025-04-19Arouca 1-0 Estrela
  • 2024-12-09Estrela 2-1 Arouca
  • 2024-05-05Arouca 0-0 Estrela
  • 2023-12-28Estrela 1-4 Arouca

Other Primeira Liga matches