Arouca 1-0 Estrela: result and AI prediction
Arouca – Estrela, Primeira Liga, Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 08:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca is #6 in the table (11 pts) and Estrela #9 (10 pts). Arouca has not won any of its last 5 matches. Arouca has kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches. Estrela averages 2 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Arouca 3, draws 1, Estrela 2. Their last meeting, on April 19, 2026, ended Arouca 1-0 Estrela.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
Arouca have the home setting and a recent defensive edge in this fixture, but they approach it with a new head coach taking charge for the first time. Estrela arrive after a rare attacking blank, yet their season has otherwise been built on finding goals and playing open matches. The key tension is Arouca’s controlled home approach against Estrela’s willingness to attack through the wide channels. Early concentration matters most for Estrela after their slow start last time out, while Arouca need their new structure to create enough support around Barbero.
Head-to-head analysis
This is a balanced recent matchup overall, but the venue trend favours Arouca: Estrela have not won on their last three visits to Estádio Municipal de Arouca and have drawn blanks in each of them.
Injuries and absences
The supplied match data contains no confirmed absences. External team news nevertheless identifies Miguel Puche and Jeremy Arévalo as fitness concerns; neither is projected as central to the expected starting elevens, so the bigger effect is on attacking depth rather than the base shapes.
Form (last 5)
Arouca vs Estrela stats
| Arouca | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
Last meetings
- 2026-04-19Arouca 1-0 Estrela
- 2025-12-07Estrela 3-1 Arouca
- 2025-04-19Arouca 1-0 Estrela
- 2024-12-09Estrela 2-1 Arouca
- 2024-05-05Arouca 0-0 Estrela
- 2023-12-28Estrela 1-4 Arouca

Arouca
Estrela