Nacional 2-3 Estrela: result and AI prediction

Nacional – Estrela, Primeira Liga, Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 03:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Estádio da Madeira

Nacional is #8 in the table (4 pts) and Estrela #11 (2 pts). Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Nacional 2, draws 1, Estrela 3. Their last meeting, on July 23, 2026, ended Estrela 2-0 Nacional.

Nacional

Final score2 - 3

Estrela

AI predicted: 2-1 · Final score: 2-3Missed

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Nacional have home-ground momentum in Madeira, but they arrive after an attackingly blunt defeat at Vitória SC. Estrela are still chasing a first league win, although their opening draws showed attacking resilience and the postponed Braga fixture has left them fresher. The hosts' reported defensive absences are the clearest complication, particularly against Antonetti and Estrela's productive wide support. Expect a close match in which the first side to control the wide channels and second balls gains the edge.

Head-to-head analysis

The recent competitive series has been low-margin, with Estrela holding the stronger overall record across the supplied meetings. Nacional's most recent league home encounter with Estrela ended in a clean-sheet win, while Estrela took the July friendly.

Injuries and absences

Nacional's current external availability reports are materially more concerning than the initial fixture feed: Ulisses Rocha, José Gomes and Mootaz Nourani are listed as unavailable, while Gomes's absence would reduce cover on the left. Estrela appear close to full strength, though Kevin Hoog Jansson's status remains uncertain.

Form (last 5)

NacionalLeague position #8 · 4 ptsD W L

EstrelaLeague position #11 · 2 ptsD D

Nacional vs Estrela stats

	Nacional	Estrela
Played	3	2
Goals scored	4	4
Goals conceded	3	4
Clean sheets	1	0

Last meetings

2026-07-23Estrela 2-0 Nacional
2026-04-04Nacional 2-0 Estrela
2025-11-09Estrela 1-1 Nacional
2025-04-06Nacional 0-1 Estrela
2024-11-10Estrela 2-0 Nacional
2023-05-21Estrela 0-1 Nacional