Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr prediction

Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al-Nassr, Saudi Pro League, Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Alinma Stadium

Al-Ahli Jeddah is #6 in the table (15 pts) and Al-Nassr #3 (19 pts). Al-Nassr is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Al-Ahli Jeddah averages 2.5 goals per match this season. Al-Nassr averages 2.4 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Al-Ahli Jeddah 1, draws 2, Al-Nassr 3. Their last meeting, on April 29, 2026, ended Al-Nassr 2-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a major early-season meeting between two sides with title-race ambitions and attacking match-winners. Al-Ahli arrive with renewed momentum and a formidable home defensive record, while Al-Nassr bring the stronger overall league start but less convincing recent away results. Toney's battle with Al-Nassr's central defence is the clearest on-pitch hinge. The immediate concern is fatigue and late fitness checks after continental commitments for both squads.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Al-Nassr have had the better of the recent series, but this fixture has rarely been predictable. The latest meetings include narrow finishes, draws and an Al-Ahli home win, underlining the importance of match state rather than historical record alone.

Injuries and absences

The strongest late-team-news concern is Al-Nassr: Coman's direct wing play and Simakan's recovery pace would both be difficult to replace. Abu Al-Shamat's reported shoulder issue would reduce Al-Ahli's wide rotation, though his absence is not confirmed.

Form (last 5)

Al-Ahli JeddahLeague position #6 · 15 ptsL W W
Al-NassrLeague position #3 · 19 ptsW D W

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr stats

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Nassr
Played88
Goals scored2019
Goals conceded107
Clean sheets43

Last meetings

  • 2026-04-29Al-Nassr 2-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2026-01-02Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-2 Al-Nassr
  • 2025-08-23Al-Nassr 2-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2025-02-13Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-3 Al-Nassr
  • 2024-09-13Al-Nassr 1-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2024-03-15Al-Ahli Jeddah 0-1 Al-Nassr

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