Almeria 2-1 Burgos: result and AI prediction

Almeria – Burgos, Segunda División, Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 03:15 PM (GMT). Venue: UD Almería Stadium

Almeria is #3 in the table (15 pts) and Burgos #4 (14 pts). It's a clash between two of the top four. Almeria is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Burgos is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Almeria has kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Almeria 3, draws 1, Burgos 2.

AlmeriaAlmeria
Final score2 - 1
BurgosBurgos
AI predicted: 1-0 · Final score: 2-1✓ Correct outcome

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a direct clash between two of Segunda División’s early frontrunners, with Almería bringing stronger home momentum and a notably meaner defensive profile. Burgos have recovered well from their early adjustments and possess enough pace and physical presence up front to make this uncomfortable. Almería’s ability to turn wide pressure into chances around Arribas is the clearest route to control, while Burgos need their compact block and transition game to travel well. The late availability picture, especially at Burgos centre-back, is the major teamsheet issue.

Head-to-head analysis

The recent series is competitive, with Almería holding a slight overall edge across the listed meetings. The latest encounter ended without a goal, while Burgos won the previous meeting in Almería, so home comfort alone has not settled this matchup.

Injuries and absences

Gui Guedes’ reported absence reduces Almería’s midfield depth, though their likely first-choice double pivot remains intact. Burgos have the larger structural concern: Lizancos is reported out and Sergio González has been flagged as a fitness doubt by a separate source, potentially weakening continuity across the back line.

Form (last 5)

AlmeriaLeague position #3 · 15 ptsW W W
BurgosLeague position #4 · 14 ptsW W W

Almeria vs Burgos stats

AlmeriaBurgos
Played77
Goals scored1111
Goals conceded47
Clean sheets42

Last meetings

  • 2026-05-09Burgos 0-0 Almeria
  • 2025-12-14Almeria 1-2 Burgos
  • 2025-03-21Burgos 3-1 Almeria
  • 2024-10-05Almeria 2-0 Burgos
  • 2022-04-30Burgos 0-2 Almeria
  • 2021-11-07Almeria 2-0 Burgos

Other Segunda División matches