Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction

Galatasaray – Fenerbahçe, Süper Lig, Monday, October 26, 2026 at 06:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Rams Park

Galatasaray is #2 in the table (19 pts) and Fenerbahçe #3 (16 pts). It's a clash between two of the top four. Fenerbahçe is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Galatasaray averages 2.1 goals per match this season. Fenerbahçe averages 2.8 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Galatasaray 3, draws 2, Fenerbahçe 1.

Galatasaray

06:30 PM

Fenerbahçe

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a high-stakes Istanbul derby between two sides separated by little at the top end of the Süper Lig. Galatasaray bring the RAMS Park advantage and Osimhen’s focal-point threat, but must compensate for Leão’s groin injury after a demanding European week. Fenerbahçe arrive with a strong defensive sequence and the sharper recent league momentum, yet injuries have reduced their options across the defensive unit and deprived them of Asensio’s creativity. Expect an intense opening from the visitors and a stronger home push as the match develops.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The recent series favours Galatasaray, who have won several of the last ten meetings and beat Fenerbahçe at RAMS Park in the most recent league encounter there. The fixture is still volatile: Fenerbahçe won the January Super Cup meeting, while several recent league derbies have been tight or scoreless.

Injuries and absences

Leão’s groin problem removes Galatasaray’s primary wide transition carrier, increasing the attacking burden on Osimhen and the supporting midfield runners. Fenerbahçe’s losses of Asensio and Aké are more structural: they lose a creative connector and a key defensive option, with Müldür’s readiness an important selection issue.

Form (last 5)

GalatasarayLeague position #2 · 19 ptsL W W

FenerbahçeLeague position #3 · 16 ptsW W W

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe stats

	Galatasaray	Fenerbahçe
Played	8	8
Goals scored	17	22
Goals conceded	11	6
Clean sheets	3	5

Last meetings

2026-04-26Galatasaray 3-0 Fenerbahçe
2026-01-10Galatasaray 0-2 Fenerbahçe
2025-12-01Fenerbahçe 1-1 Galatasaray
2025-04-02Fenerbahçe 1-2 Galatasaray
2025-02-24Galatasaray 0-0 Fenerbahçe
2024-09-21Fenerbahçe 1-3 Galatasaray

Unavailable players