Cerro 1-2 Penarol: result and AI prediction

Cerro – Penarol, Primera División, Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Estadio Luis Troccoli

Cerro is #13 in the table (32 pts) and Penarol #1 (52 pts). 12 places separate the two teams in the table. Cerro is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Cerro 1, draws 0, Penarol 5. Their last meeting, on June 7, 2026, ended Cerro 0-1 Penarol.

Cerro

Final score1 - 2

Penarol

AI predicted: 0-1 · Final score: 1-2✓ Correct outcome

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Peñarol bring the stronger season-long body of work and arrive with the defensive platform expected of the league leaders. Cerro are improving under Alejandro Cappuccio, however, and chose to keep this high-risk fixture in their own stadium, with the crowd exclusively behind the home side. That setting gives Cerro a real route to disrupt the visitors through duels, second balls and dead-ball situations. The contest is likely to turn on whether Peñarol can convert territorial control into an early breakthrough without exposing themselves to Cerro's direct transitions.

Head-to-head analysis

Peñarol have held the clear edge across the recent head-to-head series, including a narrow win at Luis Tróccoli earlier this year. Cerro's home victory in the previous Clausura is the reminder that this venue can blunt the broader trend.

Form (last 5)

CerroLeague position #13 · 32 ptsD W W

PenarolLeague position #1 · 52 ptsL W W

Cerro vs Penarol stats

	Cerro	Penarol
Played	28	28
Goals scored	22	49
Goals conceded	41	23
Clean sheets	6	10

Last meetings

2026-06-07Cerro 0-1 Penarol
2026-03-21Penarol 3-1 Cerro
2025-10-25Cerro 2-0 Penarol
2025-06-28Penarol 2-0 Cerro
2025-04-27Penarol 3-1 Cerro
2024-09-22Cerro 0-5 Penarol