Liverpool Montevideo 3-2 Progreso: result and AI prediction
Liverpool Montevideo – Progreso, Primera División, Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera
Liverpool Montevideo is #7 in the table (46 pts) and Progreso #15 (28 pts). 8 places separate the two teams in the table. Liverpool Montevideo has kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Liverpool Montevideo 3, draws 1, Progreso 2. Their last meeting, on March 31, 2026, ended Progreso 3-3 Liverpool Montevideo.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
Liverpool have the stronger season profile, home edge and a recent head-to-head advantage, so they should dictate the territorial battle. Progreso arrive in much better immediate form than their overall standing implies and have enough direct threat through Elvis López Barboza to punish loose rest-defence. Stable predicted selections on both sides point to familiar patterns rather than a radical tactical surprise. Liverpool’s ability to convert possession into quality wide and set-piece situations is the central issue.
Head-to-head analysis
Liverpool are unbeaten in the last four meetings and have won their two most recent home clashes with Progreso. The latest encounter, however, was a high-scoring draw, showing that this pairing can become open when transitions are not controlled.
Injuries and absences
No confirmed absences have been reported for either side. The meaningful availability question is whether the stable expected selections are retained once official line-ups arrive.
Form (last 5)
Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso stats
| Liverpool Montevideo | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 30 | 30 |
| Goals scored | 39 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 28 | 43 |
| Clean sheets | 14 | 4 |
Last meetings
- 2026-03-31Progreso 3-3 Liverpool Montevideo
- 2025-10-26Liverpool Montevideo 3-1 Progreso
- 2025-04-27Progreso 0-2 Liverpool Montevideo
- 2024-11-03Liverpool Montevideo 2-1 Progreso
- 2024-04-28Progreso 2-1 Liverpool Montevideo
- 2021-10-03Liverpool Montevideo 0-1 Progreso

Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso