Penarol 1-1 Progreso: result and AI prediction

AI match recap

Peñarol enter with the stronger league position, a sustained run of results and a commanding recent record in this fixture. Aguirre has timely attacking and midfield reinforcements available, giving his side greater depth if the opening phases are tight. Progreso’s relegation fight should make them stubborn and direct, especially without Peñarol’s usual home crowd creating pressure. The nominal hosts should control territory, but they need patience to break down a team playing for every point.

Head-to-head analysis

Peñarol have dominated this matchup, winning nine of the last ten meetings and keeping clean sheets in several of those victories. Progreso’s lone point in that sequence came in a goalless Clausura meeting several years ago.

Injuries and absences

Peñarol’s returning group materially improves Aguirre’s options, particularly for late attacking changes, while Gelini remains unavailable and long-term recovery continues for Leonardo Fernández. No confirmed Progreso absences were provided.

Form (last 5)

Penarol vs Progreso stats

Last meetings

• 2026-04-04Progreso 0-2 Penarol
• 2025-08-01Penarol 2-1 Progreso
• 2025-02-01Progreso 1-3 Penarol
• 2024-11-27Progreso 1-5 Penarol
• 2024-06-22Progreso 0-2 Penarol
• 2024-05-23Penarol 3-1 Progreso

Other Primera División matches

• Atletico Torque – Danubio
• Deportivo Maldonado – Liverpool Montevideo
• Defensor Sporting – Cerro
• Wanderers – Boston River
• Juventud – Racing Montevideo
• Cerro Largo – Albion FC
• Central Espanol – Club Nacional