Brazil 2-1 Japan: result and AI prediction
Brazil – Japan, World Cup, Monday, June 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (GMT). Venue: NRG Stadium
Brazil is #1 in the table (7 pts) and Japan #2 (5 pts). It's a clash between two of the top four. Brazil is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Japan is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Last 4 head-to-head meetings: Brazil 3, draws 0, Japan 1. Their last meeting, on October 14, 2025, ended Japan 3-2 Brazil.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
Brazil come in with the stronger recent momentum and the deeper pool of match-winners, but this is not a soft knockout draw. Japan are unbeaten in the tournament, tactically drilled, and recent history says they can punish Brazil when the game becomes transitional. The key battle is whether Brazil can press and attack without exposing the spaces behind their full-backs. Raphinha’s absence also nudges more of Brazil’s creative burden onto the left side, which makes their attacking pattern a little easier for Japan to read.
Head-to-head analysis
Brazil hold the better overall recent head-to-head record, but the latest meeting is the one that matters psychologically: Japan beat them 3-2 in October 2025. That result keeps the historical edge from feeling one-sided and underlines the upset threat.
Injuries and absences
Raphinha's hamstring absence removes Brazil's most natural right-wing runner and makes their attack more dependent on Vinícius Júnior and the interior creators for penetration. Japan have no confirmed absences, which helps Moriyasu keep his defensive structure and transition patterns intact.
Form (last 5)
Brazil vs Japan stats
| Brazil | Japan | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
Last meetings
- 2025-10-14Japan 3-2 Brazil
- 2022-06-06Japan 0-1 Brazil
- 2017-11-10Japan 1-3 Brazil
- 2013-06-15Brazil 3-0 Japan
Unavailable players
Brazil
Raphinha
Japan
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Brazil
Japan