America Mineiro vs Cuiaba prediction

America Mineiro – Cuiaba, Serie B, Monday, October 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Arena Independência

America Mineiro is #19 in the table (20 pts) and Cuiaba #13 (47 pts). Cuiaba has not won any of its last 5 matches. Cuiaba has kept 14 clean sheets in 34 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: America Mineiro 0, draws 2, Cuiaba 4. Their last meeting, on July 2, 2026, ended Cuiaba 1-0 America Mineiro.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a meeting of contrasting incentives: already-relegated América are trying to give their home support a positive finish, while Cuiabá need a response to preserve their fading promotion pursuit. América’s win over Operário stopped a damaging run, but the suspension of Jorge Jiménez disrupts the midfield just as Moacir Júnior seeks continuity. Cuiabá have recently lost momentum too, yet their defensive base and greater league stability give them a clearer platform. Expect a tense, low-margin game in which the first goal would sharply shape the rhythm.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Cuiabá won the first league meeting this season and hold the better recent overall head-to-head run. At the Independência, however, the latest meeting finished level, reinforcing the likelihood of another tight matchup.

Injuries and absences

The decisive confirmed availability issue is Jiménez’s suspension rather than an injury: América lose a recently preferred defensive midfielder. Person is back in physical transition after ankle surgery, but his involvement remains unresolved.

Form (last 5)

America MineiroLeague position #19 · 20 ptsL L W
CuiabaLeague position #13 · 47 ptsD L L

America Mineiro vs Cuiaba stats

America MineiroCuiaba
Played3434
Goals scored2232
Goals conceded5427
Clean sheets514

Last meetings

  • 2026-07-02Cuiaba 1-0 America Mineiro
  • 2025-11-16America Mineiro 1-1 Cuiaba
  • 2025-07-24Cuiaba 3-1 America Mineiro
  • 2023-09-15Cuiaba 2-2 America Mineiro
  • 2023-05-07America Mineiro 1-2 Cuiaba
  • 2022-09-29Cuiaba 2-1 America Mineiro

Other Serie B matches