Juventude vs Nautico Recife prediction
Juventude – Nautico Recife, Serie B, Monday, October 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Juventude is #3 in the table (61 pts) and Nautico Recife #15 (43 pts). 12 places separate the two teams in the table. Juventude is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Nautico Recife has not won any of its last 5 matches. Juventude has kept 22 clean sheets in 34 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Juventude 2, draws 3, Nautico Recife 1.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
Juventude enter a pivotal home match in the promotion chase with stronger recent form and an imposing defensive platform at Alfredo Jaconi. Náutico arrive with Jean Carlos back to improve their attacking link play, but their defensive selection remains unsettled after recent muscular issues. The key contest is whether Juventude's replacement centre-back can preserve their controlled build-up while the hosts target Náutico's makeshift central defending. Expect a tight match in which patience, set-pieces and the late phases carry unusual importance.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
The reverse fixture this season ended goalless, and the recent series has generally been tight. Náutico have never won away to Juventude, according to [ge.globo.com](https://ge.globo.com/pe/futebol/times/nautico/noticia/2026/10/22/muriel-e-leo-indio-voltam-a-treinar-no-nautico-mas-nao-tem-retornos-garantidos-contra-o-juventude.ghtml).
Injuries and absences
Marcos Paulo's suspension is a meaningful blow to Juventude because his replacement must replicate his ball progression and defensive timing. Náutico's Muriel and Léo Índio are back in training but not certain starters, leaving their goalkeeper and centre-back choices unresolved.
Form (last 5)
Juventude vs Nautico Recife stats
| Juventude | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 34 | 34 |
| Goals scored | 41 | 39 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 42 |
| Clean sheets | 22 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2026-07-05Nautico Recife 0-0 Juventude
- 2020-11-29Juventude 1-0 Nautico Recife
- 2020-08-22Nautico Recife 3-3 Juventude
- 2019-09-22Nautico Recife 2-1 Juventude
- 2019-09-15Juventude 2-1 Nautico Recife
- 2017-10-24Juventude 0-0 Nautico Recife

Juventude
Nautico Recife