Santos vs Palmeiras prediction

Santos – Palmeiras, Brasileirão, Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos is #8 in the table (46 pts) and Palmeiras #1 (69 pts). Palmeiras is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Palmeiras has kept 15 clean sheets in 32 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Santos 1, draws 2, Palmeiras 3. Their last meeting, on September 3, 2026, ended Santos 0-0 Palmeiras.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a Vila Belmiro derby with Santos trying to protect a valuable home result against the league leaders. Palmeiras bring the stronger recent form and a notably more secure defensive record, while Santos lose Neymar and face personnel strain across the goalkeeper, defensive and midfield lines. The home side can make this uncomfortable by compressing the pitch and turning set-pieces into pressure. Palmeiras’ deeper attacking options, including the possible return of Vitor Roque, give them a strong late-match dimension.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Palmeiras hold the stronger record across the last ten meetings, but this rivalry has rarely been straightforward. The latest Vila Belmiro cup match ended scoreless, and Santos have recorded narrow home victories in the recent series.

Injuries and absences

Santos’ reported absences are concentrated in goal, defence and holding midfield, while Neymar’s suspension removes their principal technical reference. Palmeiras lose Ramón Sosa, but the possible bench return of Vitor Roque would partially restore their attacking rotation.

Form (last 5)

SantosLeague position #8 · 46 ptsL W D
PalmeirasLeague position #1 · 69 ptsW W W

Santos vs Palmeiras stats

SantosPalmeiras
Played3232
Goals scored4956
Goals conceded4722
Clean sheets615

Last meetings

  • 2026-09-03Santos 0-0 Palmeiras
  • 2026-08-27Palmeiras 3-0 Santos
  • 2026-05-02Palmeiras 1-1 Santos
  • 2026-01-14Palmeiras 1-0 Santos
  • 2025-11-16Santos 1-0 Palmeiras
  • 2025-11-07Palmeiras 2-0 Santos

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