Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo prediction

Vasco DA Gama – Flamengo, Brasileirão, Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (GMT). Venue: São Januário

Vasco DA Gama is #13 in the table (38 pts) and Flamengo #2 (67 pts). 11 places separate the two teams in the table. Flamengo is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Flamengo has kept 14 clean sheets in 31 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Vasco DA Gama 0, draws 3, Flamengo 3. Their last meeting, on May 3, 2026, ended Flamengo 2-2 Vasco DA Gama.

Vasco DA Gama

11:00 PM

Flamengo

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Flamengo bring the stronger season, deeper established core and a major incentive at the top of the table, but São Januário gives Vasco a credible route to make the derby abrasive and tight. Vasco's recent improvement, especially at home, means Flamengo will not be handed easy territory. The decisive issue is whether Vasco can disrupt Flamengo's midfield circulation without leaving their defensive line exposed. Availability reports are important here: both squads have several players listed as absent, although official team confirmation is still required.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Recent meetings have been tightly contested, including a draw earlier this season, while Flamengo hold the stronger longer-term derby record. Vasco have repeatedly shown they can reduce the gap when they keep the match compact.

Injuries and absences

Current external listings contradict the supplied absence feed and name several unavailable players for both sides. The potential loss of De Arrascaeta and Ayrton Lucas especially reduces Flamengo's left-sided creativity, while Vasco's reported omissions would thin options in midfield, defence and attack.

Form (last 5)

Vasco DA GamaLeague position #13 · 38 ptsD L W

FlamengoLeague position #2 · 67 ptsD W W

Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo stats

	Vasco DA Gama	Flamengo
Played	31	31
Goals scored	39	61
Goals conceded	45	25
Clean sheets	4	14

Last meetings

2026-05-03Flamengo 2-2 Vasco DA Gama
2026-01-22Flamengo 1-0 Vasco DA Gama
2025-09-21Flamengo 1-1 Vasco DA Gama
2025-04-19Vasco DA Gama 0-0 Flamengo
2025-03-08Flamengo 2-1 Vasco DA Gama
2025-03-01Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Flamengo