Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction

Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Pasto, Primera A, Monday, October 26, 2026 at 01:15 AM (GMT). Venue: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Deportes Tolima is #6 in the table (31 pts) and Deportivo Pasto #3 (34 pts). Deportes Tolima has not won any of its last 5 matches. Deportivo Pasto has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Deportes Tolima 3, draws 1, Deportivo Pasto 2. Their last meeting, on May 13, 2026, ended Deportivo Pasto 0-2 Deportes Tolima.

Deportes Tolima

01:15 AM

Deportivo Pasto

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Tolima are back home with a pressing need to end a damaging winless sequence, and Pasto arrive in poor travelling form after a difficult night against Atlético Nacional. The hosts have recent control of this matchup and a stronger defensive platform in Ibagué, which points toward a patient home-led game rather than an open exchange. Pasto’s best chance is to make the centre crowded, survive the early home pressure and attack the space left by Tolima’s advancing full-backs. Team news requires a final check because Cristian Trujillo’s reported injury status is inconsistent across late sources.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Tolima have won the last two league meetings with Pasto without conceding, including the most recent meeting in Ibagué. The wider recent series is competitive, but Tolima’s home results have generally carried more control.

Injuries and absences

Cristian Trujillo is the only reported late absence, listed by FotMob with a muscle injury; his loss would reduce Tolima’s midfield depth and ball-recovery options. Because another current source lists no restrictions, this should be treated as unconfirmed until the official lineup.

Form (last 5)

Deportes TolimaLeague position #6 · 31 ptsD L L

Deportivo PastoLeague position #3 · 34 ptsD L L

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto stats

	Deportes Tolima	Deportivo Pasto
Played	38	35
Goals scored	49	38
Goals conceded	39	50
Clean sheets	12	10

Last meetings

2026-05-13Deportivo Pasto 0-2 Deportes Tolima
2026-05-09Deportes Tolima 1-0 Deportivo Pasto
2026-04-11Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Deportes Tolima
2025-07-12Deportivo Pasto 3-2 Deportes Tolima
2025-01-28Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo Pasto
2024-10-03Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Deportes Tolima