Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction

Borussia Dortmund – Werder Bremen, DFB-Pokal, Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Signal Iduna Park

Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Borussia Dortmund 3, draws 3, Werder Bremen 0. Their last meeting, on October 9, 2026, ended Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen.

AI confidence: Low

AI match recap

Dortmund enter a knockout night at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK with the home crowd, deeper individual quality and the expectation of controlling possession. Bremen arrive with confidence from the recent draw in this stadium and a counter-attacking plan that has already troubled Dortmund. Reported absences are the central pre-match complication: Dortmund may be short on their left side, while Bremen’s squad depth looks under far greater strain. The first spell after kick-off should show whether Dortmund can turn pressure into clear chances before Bremen settle into their defensive block.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Dortmund have generally had the stronger recent head-to-head record, but Bremen’s latest visit to SIGNAL IDUNA PARK ended level. That immediate precedent matters more than older meetings because it showed Bremen can withstand pressure here and carry a counter-attacking threat.

Injuries and absences

There is a material conflict in the available information: the supplied absence feed reports none, but an external preview lists Bensebaini and Can among Dortmund’s absences and multiple Bremen players unavailable. If those reports are confirmed, Dortmund lose balance on the left while Bremen lose depth and midfield running power.

Form (last 5)

Borussia DortmundW
Werder BremenW

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen stats

Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen
Played11
Goals scored53
Goals conceded00
Clean sheets11

Last meetings

  • 2026-10-09Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen
  • 2026-05-16Werder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2026-01-13Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Werder Bremen
  • 2025-01-25Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-08-31Werder Bremen 0-0 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2024-03-09Werder Bremen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Other DFB-Pokal matches