VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction
VfL Bochum – FSV Mainz 05, DFB-Pokal, Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Last 6 head-to-head meetings: VfL Bochum 0, draws 1, FSV Mainz 05 5. Their last meeting, on May 10, 2025, ended VfL Bochum 1-4 FSV Mainz 05.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
Mainz carry the stronger recent away narrative and a favourable recent record in this matchup, making them the side expected to impose the more controlled game plan. Bochum’s route is a classic Ruhrstadion cup performance: aggressive duels, territory from long balls and danger from dead-ball situations. Reported Mainz absences, particularly around the goalkeeper and wide defensive positions, give Bochum a genuine avenue to disrupt the visitors. The early battle for second balls will determine whether this becomes a composed Mainz away display or a volatile cup tie.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
Mainz have dominated the recent league meetings in the supplied head-to-head sequence, while Bochum’s notable exception was a previous DFB-Pokal home win. That contrast makes Bochum’s cup-specific intensity relevant, but the broader recent matchup trend still favours Mainz.
Injuries and absences
The user-provided feed lists no absences, but independent projected-lineup reports flag a potentially significant Mainz injury list, led by Robin Zentner and several wide-defensive options. If confirmed, Bochum should target the goalkeeper’s protection and Mainz’s flank coverage with early deliveries and set-pieces.
Form (last 5)
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 stats
| VfL Bochum | FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 2 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 1 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Last meetings
- 2025-05-10VfL Bochum 1-4 FSV Mainz 05
- 2025-01-11FSV Mainz 05 2-0 VfL Bochum
- 2024-03-16FSV Mainz 05 2-0 Vfl Bochum
- 2023-10-27Vfl Bochum 2-2 FSV Mainz 05
- 2023-01-28FSV Mainz 05 5-2 Vfl Bochum
- 2022-08-06Vfl Bochum 1-2 FSV Mainz 05

VfL Bochum
FSV Mainz 05