AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction

AZ Alkmaar – Twente, Eredivisie, Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (GMT). Venue: AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar)

AZ Alkmaar is #2 in the table (20 pts) and Twente #5 (17 pts). AZ Alkmaar averages 2.2 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: AZ Alkmaar 4, draws 1, Twente 1. Their last meeting, on May 3, 2026, ended AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Twente. Absent for AZ Alkmaar: J. Hornkamp, S. Resink, K. Smit +1. Absent for Twente: M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, F. Thorvaldsen +1.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a high-stakes meeting between sides near the Eredivisie summit, with AZ protecting their home position and Twente seeking to narrow the gap. Both arrive after Thursday European travel, putting recovery and substitutions at the centre of the contest. AZ have the home edge and a strong recent record in Alkmaar against Twente, but their own fitness calls around Clasie and Goes matter. Twente’s main problem is at the back, where absences reduce their margin for error against AZ’s fluid attacking players.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

AZ have generally had the better of this fixture in Alkmaar, with recent home meetings producing several AZ wins and the latest league edition ending level. The history also contains regular close, high-scoring encounters, so Twente have evidence that they can make this uncomfortable.

Injuries and absences

Twente’s absences are concentrated in goal and central defence, reducing continuity in the area AZ will attack with Meerdink and their attacking midfield runners. AZ are without Hornkamp and Kees Smit, while the availability of Clasie and Goes is pivotal to their control and defensive balance.

Form (last 5)

AZ AlkmaarLeague position #2 · 20 ptsW L D
TwenteLeague position #5 · 17 ptsW D L

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente stats

AZ AlkmaarTwente
Played99
Goals scored2017
Goals conceded1010
Clean sheets32

Last meetings

  • 2026-05-03AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Twente
  • 2026-02-03AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Twente
  • 2025-11-30Twente 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2025-05-25AZ Alkmaar 3-2 Twente
  • 2025-05-14Twente 2-3 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2024-12-21AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Twente

Unavailable players

AZ Alkmaar

J. Hornkamp, S. Resink, K. Smit, J. Clasie

Twente

M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, F. Thorvaldsen, L. Unnerstall

Other Eredivisie matches