Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction

Athletic Club – Real Sociedad, La Liga, Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 08:00 PM (GMT). Venue: San Mamés Stadium

Athletic Club is #15 in the table (9 pts) and Real Sociedad #5 (16 pts). 10 places separate the two teams in the table. Athletic Club has not won any of its last 5 matches. Real Sociedad is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Athletic Club has kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Athletic Club 1, draws 2, Real Sociedad 3.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a tense Basque derby between an Athletic side needing a league lift and a Real Sociedad team carrying stronger recent momentum. San Mamés should give Athletic the early edge in aggression and territorial pressure, but injuries and suspensions threaten to strip key pieces from their spine. Real Sociedad have enough attacking pace and Soler’s craft to punish turnovers, although their own defensive absences prevent this from being a straightforward away performance. Expect a physical match shaped by wide duels, second balls and the quality of the replacement line-ups.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

This fixture is usually defined by fine margins rather than flowing football, and the recent derby sequence has avoided stalemates. FotMob’s listed historical record gives Real Sociedad a narrow overall edge, but San Mamés has repeatedly produced fiercely contested meetings.

Injuries and absences

Athletic are most exposed by the reported loss of Sancet and the uncertainty around several defenders, weakening both chance creation and their preferred defensive continuity. Real Sociedad lose Kubo’s wide invention and Ćaleta-Car’s centre-back depth, but Soler’s return restores an important possession and chance-creation reference point.

Form (last 5)

Athletic ClubLeague position #15 · 9 ptsD D L
Real SociedadLeague position #5 · 16 ptsW W W

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad stats

Athletic ClubReal Sociedad
Played89
Goals scored817
Goals conceded917
Clean sheets41

Last meetings

  • 2026-10-02Real Sociedad 0-1 Athletic Club
  • 2026-03-04Real Sociedad 1-0 Athletic Club
  • 2026-02-11Athletic Club 0-1 Real Sociedad
  • 2026-02-01Athletic Club 1-1 Real Sociedad
  • 2025-11-01Real Sociedad 3-2 Athletic Club
  • 2025-05-04Real Sociedad 0-0 Athletic Club

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