Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction

Rayo Vallecano – Celta Vigo, La Liga, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 03:15 PM (GMT). Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano is #17 in the table (9 pts) and Celta Vigo #9 (11 pts). 8 places separate the two teams in the table. Rayo Vallecano has not won any of its last 5 matches. Celta Vigo is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Celta Vigo has kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Rayo Vallecano 2, draws 3, Celta Vigo 1.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Rayo return to Vallecas needing a response after a difficult league start, but their home performances offer a much firmer platform than their away record. Celta arrive in better recent form and with a resilient defensive identity, though their away attack has lacked cutting edge. The decisive tension is Rayo’s intensity and set-piece threat against a Celta side capable of controlling possession, but both teams have meaningful absences. Rayo’s missing midfield ballast and altered right flank make the opening exchanges especially important.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

This fixture has often been tight, particularly at Vallecas, where Rayo are unbeaten in the last five league meetings with Celta. Recent home editions have regularly been decided by narrow margins or ended level.

Injuries and absences

Rayo’s reported losses are more disruptive: Ciss’s suspension affects midfield duels, while Rațiu’s absence forces a defensive adjustment and Camello’s status is uncertain. Celta’s missing Borja Iglesias reduces their established penalty-box presence, while Starfelt’s absence weakens their depth against Rayo’s set-pieces.

Form (last 5)

Rayo VallecanoLeague position #17 · 9 ptsD D L
Celta VigoLeague position #9 · 11 ptsW D W

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo stats

Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
Played99
Goals scored1210
Goals conceded207
Clean sheets04

Last meetings

  • 2026-01-18Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-09-21Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo
  • 2025-05-18Celta Vigo 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-01-10Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-03-31Celta Vigo 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2023-12-11Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Celta Vigo

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