Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction

Lorient – Stade Brestois 29, Ligue 1, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Stade du Moustoir

Lorient is #8 in the table (11 pts) and Stade Brestois 29 #11 (9 pts). Lorient has kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Lorient 1, draws 2, Stade Brestois 29 3. Their last meeting, on February 7, 2026, ended Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lorient.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This Breton derby brings together a Lorient side with the steadier defensive base and a Brest side carrying greater attacking threat but less defensive control. Lorient’s home crowd and recent form give them a platform to make the match physical and compact. Brest’s reported central-defensive issues are the clearest pressure point, while their ability to score keeps them dangerous throughout. Expect a close match decided by transitions, loose second balls and penalty-area execution.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Recent league meetings lean Brest’s way, including their win in the most recent encounter, although the latest match at Stade du Moustoir was a high-scoring draw. The broader record is competitive enough for the derby context to matter more than distant history.

Injuries and absences

The reported absence of Chardonnet and Le Guen would weaken Brest’s central-defensive continuity and invite Lorient to attack the box directly. Lorient’s reported issues, notably Mohamed Bamba and Panos Katseris, would reduce depth in forward and wide defensive roles if confirmed.

Form (last 5)

LorientLeague position #8 · 11 ptsL W W
Stade Brestois 29League position #11 · 9 ptsW D L

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 stats

LorientStade Brestois 29
Played78
Goals scored714
Goals conceded612
Clean sheets40

Last meetings

  • 2026-02-07Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lorient
  • 2025-10-19Lorient 3-3 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2024-07-20Lorient 1-1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2024-03-31Lorient 0-1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2023-12-20Stade Brestois 29 4-0 Lorient
  • 2023-05-07Lorient 2-1 Stade Brestois 29

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