Marseille vs Le Havre prediction
Marseille – Le Havre, Ligue 1, Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 04:15 PM (GMT). Venue: Orange Vélodrome
Marseille is #10 in the table (9 pts) and Le Havre #18 (2 pts). 8 places separate the two teams in the table. Le Havre has not won any of its last 5 matches. Marseille averages 2 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Marseille 6, draws 0, Le Havre 0. Their last meeting, on May 10, 2026, ended Le Havre 0-1 Marseille.
AI confidence: High
AI match recap
Marseille return to the Vélodrome after a rotated European outing, with the expected restoration of key starters changing the intensity and technical level of their league setup. Le Havre arrive rooted near the bottom, still seeking a first league victory and short of defensive options. The main contest is whether Marseille’s restored midfield can pin Le Havre back without allowing transitional openings. Recent meetings and the visitors’ shortage of goals strongly favour a home-controlled match, but the European turnaround puts a premium on Marseille’s early sharpness.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
Marseille have won every match in the supplied recent series against Le Havre and have often scored freely in the fixture. Le Havre’s recurring issue has been surviving Marseille’s territorial pressure for a full match.
Injuries and absences
Cornelius is Marseille’s sole confirmed absence, but the availability of Nnadi and the potential return of Højbjerg preserve the hosts’ central structure. Le Havre’s multiple absences across defence and goalkeeping reduce their ability to rotate or adjust when Marseille overload the wide areas.
Form (last 5)
Marseille vs Le Havre stats
| Marseille | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
Last meetings
- 2026-05-10Le Havre 0-1 Marseille
- 2025-10-18Marseille 6-2 Le Havre
- 2025-05-10Le Havre 1-3 Marseille
- 2025-01-05Marseille 5-1 Le Havre
- 2024-05-19Le Havre 1-2 Marseille
- 2023-10-08Marseille 3-0 Le Havre
Unavailable players
Marseille
D. Cornelius
Le Havre
E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure, S. Zagadou

Marseille
Le Havre