Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction

Paris Saint Germain – Lyon, Ligue 1, Monday, October 26, 2026 at 07:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Parc des Princes

Paris Saint Germain is #2 in the table (14 pts) and Lyon #1 (14 pts). It's a clash between two of the top four. Paris Saint Germain is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Paris Saint Germain averages 2 goals per match this season. Lyon has kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Paris Saint Germain 5, draws 0, Lyon 1.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a table-shaping meeting between the division’s leading pair, with PSG carrying the sharper recent momentum into their home ground. Lyon have already shown they can win in Paris, and their defensive discipline gives them a clear route to making the game awkward. The major tension is PSG’s depleted group: Luis Enrique must replace elite attacking width and a captain in defence after a demanding European night. Lyon’s own missing attackers and possible late fitness calls may limit their ability to punish PSG’s aggressive shape.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

This fixture has been lively and generally open across the recent series, with PSG winning most of those meetings. Lyon’s latest visit to the Parc des Princes ended in victory, a result Luis Enrique has explicitly cited as motivation.

Injuries and absences

PSG’s confirmed absences remove their captain, first-choice left-sided thrust and two elite attacking difference-makers, placing more responsibility on Zabarnyi and the midfield creators. Lyon are without Openda and have concerns around Tagliafico and Šulc, reducing their counterattacking depth and left-sided balance.

Form (last 5)

Paris Saint GermainLeague position #2 · 14 ptsW W W
LyonLeague position #1 · 14 ptsW L W

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon stats

Paris Saint GermainLyon
Played77
Goals scored1413
Goals conceded95
Clean sheets13

Last meetings

  • 2026-04-19Paris Saint Germain 1-2 Lyon
  • 2025-11-09Lyon 2-3 Paris Saint Germain
  • 2025-02-23Lyon 2-3 Paris Saint Germain
  • 2024-12-15Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Lyon
  • 2024-05-25Lyon 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
  • 2024-04-21Paris Saint Germain 4-1 Lyon

Unavailable players

Paris Saint Germain

O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos, N. Mendes, A. Longoni

Lyon

L. Openda, M. Ouedraogo, N. Tagliafico, A. Hamdani, P. Sulc

Other Ligue 1 matches

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction, Stats & H2H (Oct 26) | Predigoal