Dundee vs Kilmarnock prediction

Dundee – Kilmarnock, Scottish Premiership, Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Dens Park

Dundee is #5 in the table (14 pts) and Kilmarnock #11 (8 pts). Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Dundee 2, draws 2, Kilmarnock 2. Their last meeting, on May 12, 2026, ended Kilmarnock 3-1 Dundee.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Dundee return to Dens Park needing a response after their weekend defeat, while Kilmarnock arrive with a fragile defensive record and a setback of their own. The home side have the stronger league position and the market-led baseline gives them the edge, but this fixture has repeatedly produced goals at both ends. Dundee’s depleted forward depth is the main counterweight to that home advantage. Expect a physical contest in which the team that controls midfield knockdowns and set-piece phases takes command.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

This is a notably balanced recent rivalry, but it has rarely been cautious: nine of the last ten meetings produced goals for both sides. Dundee, Kilmarnock and draws are evenly represented across that sequence.

Injuries and absences

Dundee’s reported long-term absences include Simon Murray and Finlay Robertson, with Bobby Wales and Joe Westley also listed as injured, thinning the home side’s attacking alternatives. Kilmarnock’s reported absences of Bailey Rice and goalkeeper Maksymilian Stryjek reduce midfield and goalkeeping depth rather than clearly changing their preferred starting structure.

Form (last 5)

DundeeLeague position #5 · 14 ptsW D L
KilmarnockLeague position #11 · 8 ptsL W L

Dundee vs Kilmarnock stats

DundeeKilmarnock
Played1010
Goals scored1410
Goals conceded1223
Clean sheets22

Last meetings

  • 2026-05-12Kilmarnock 3-1 Dundee
  • 2026-04-11Kilmarnock 2-2 Dundee
  • 2026-01-17Kilmarnock 1-2 Dundee
  • 2025-12-30Dundee 2-1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-08-23Kilmarnock 0-0 Dundee
  • 2025-05-10Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee

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