Dundee vs Kilmarnock prediction
Dundee – Kilmarnock, Scottish Premiership, Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Dens Park
Dundee is #5 in the table (14 pts) and Kilmarnock #11 (8 pts). Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Dundee 2, draws 2, Kilmarnock 2. Their last meeting, on May 12, 2026, ended Kilmarnock 3-1 Dundee.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
Dundee return to Dens Park needing a response after their weekend defeat, while Kilmarnock arrive with a fragile defensive record and a setback of their own. The home side have the stronger league position and the market-led baseline gives them the edge, but this fixture has repeatedly produced goals at both ends. Dundee’s depleted forward depth is the main counterweight to that home advantage. Expect a physical contest in which the team that controls midfield knockdowns and set-piece phases takes command.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
This is a notably balanced recent rivalry, but it has rarely been cautious: nine of the last ten meetings produced goals for both sides. Dundee, Kilmarnock and draws are evenly represented across that sequence.
Injuries and absences
Dundee’s reported long-term absences include Simon Murray and Finlay Robertson, with Bobby Wales and Joe Westley also listed as injured, thinning the home side’s attacking alternatives. Kilmarnock’s reported absences of Bailey Rice and goalkeeper Maksymilian Stryjek reduce midfield and goalkeeping depth rather than clearly changing their preferred starting structure.
Form (last 5)
Dundee vs Kilmarnock stats
| Dundee | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 23 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
Last meetings
- 2026-05-12Kilmarnock 3-1 Dundee
- 2026-04-11Kilmarnock 2-2 Dundee
- 2026-01-17Kilmarnock 1-2 Dundee
- 2025-12-30Dundee 2-1 Kilmarnock
- 2025-08-23Kilmarnock 0-0 Dundee
- 2025-05-10Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee

Dundee
Kilmarnock