ST Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction

ST Johnstone – Motherwell, Scottish Premiership, Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: McDiarmid Park

ST Johnstone is #8 in the table (12 pts) and Motherwell #10 (8 pts). Motherwell has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: ST Johnstone 2, draws 0, Motherwell 4. Their last meeting, on August 16, 2025, ended ST Johnstone 0-1 Motherwell.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

St Johnstone have the home setting and the cleaner recent platform, while Motherwell arrive needing to halt a damaging losing run. The visitors still have enough pace and attacking midfield quality to punish a loose transition, but their coach has openly highlighted problems with pressing together and defending the box. This looks set to be shaped by St Johnstone's wing-back pressure and Motherwell's ability to survive the first wave without conceding territory. Team-sheet clarity matters, particularly around Motherwell's returning and recovering players.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

This fixture has been closely balanced across the recent meetings, with Motherwell holding a narrow edge in wins. Most encounters have been decided by fine margins, while both sides have regularly found a route to goal.

Injuries and absences

Zach Mitchell's season-ending knee injury reduces St Johnstone's defensive depth. For Motherwell, Dylan Williams' hamstring absence removes an option in the wide areas; Koutroumbis' reported return to selection would be a timely boost if confirmed.

Form (last 5)

ST JohnstoneLeague position #8 · 12 ptsW D L
MotherwellLeague position #10 · 8 ptsL L L

ST Johnstone vs Motherwell stats

ST JohnstoneMotherwell
Played109
Goals scored1111
Goals conceded1516
Clean sheets12

Last meetings

  • 2025-08-16ST Johnstone 0-1 Motherwell
  • 2025-04-26Motherwell 3-2 ST Johnstone
  • 2025-01-25ST Johnstone 2-1 Motherwell
  • 2025-01-18ST Johnstone 1-0 Motherwell
  • 2024-11-09Motherwell 2-1 ST Johnstone
  • 2024-08-31ST Johnstone 1-2 Motherwell

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