AC Milan vs Bologna prediction

AC Milan – Bologna, Serie A, Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (GMT). Venue: TBD

AC Milan is #5 in the table (15 pts) and Bologna #13 (8 pts). 8 places separate the two teams in the table. AC Milan is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. AC Milan averages 2 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: AC Milan 3, draws 1, Bologna 2. Their last meeting, on February 3, 2026, ended Bologna 0-3 AC Milan.

AC Milan

05:30 PM

Bologna

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Milan bring the stronger league start and a formidable San Siro platform into a match they will expect to control. Bologna’s task is harder after Roberto Piccoli’s confirmed hamstring injury, while Riccardo Orsolini’s fitness remains a live selection issue. The visitors can make this uncomfortable through compact defending and quick breaks, but Milan’s territorial pressure and greater continuity in front of goal are the defining themes. The midfield battle and the wing-back matchups should decide whether Bologna can stay in the contest deep into the evening.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Milan hold the stronger recent Serie A record in this fixture and have shut Bologna out in the last two league meetings. Bologna did beat Milan in the Coppa Italia during the same broader period, so the matchup is not one-sided.

Injuries and absences

Piccoli’s hamstring injury is a meaningful blow to Bologna’s central attack, reducing their ability to secure direct passes and occupy Milan’s centre-backs. Orsolini’s separate training also raises uncertainty over their most natural right-sided attacking outlet.

Form (last 5)

AC MilanLeague position #5 · 15 ptsW D W

BolognaLeague position #13 · 8 ptsW L W

AC Milan vs Bologna stats

	AC Milan	Bologna
Played	7	8
Goals scored	14	8
Goals conceded	7	10
Clean sheets	2	1

Last meetings

2026-02-03Bologna 0-3 AC Milan
2025-09-14AC Milan 1-0 Bologna
2025-05-14AC Milan 0-1 Bologna
2025-05-09AC Milan 3-1 Bologna
2025-02-27Bologna 2-1 AC Milan
2024-01-27AC Milan 2-2 Bologna