AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction

AS Roma – Cagliari, Serie A, Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Stadio Olimpico

AS Roma is #3 in the table (18 pts) and Cagliari #8 (13 pts). AS Roma is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Cagliari has not won any of its last 5 matches. AS Roma averages 2.4 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: AS Roma 4, draws 1, Cagliari 1. Their last meeting, on February 9, 2026, ended AS Roma 2-0 Cagliari.

AS Roma

07:45 PM

Cagliari

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Roma carry the stronger home form and a clear historical edge in this fixture, but they are managing a cramped schedule after the Napoli match. Gasperini’s rotation and the absence of several senior creators make the selection more important than usual. Cagliari have the defensive discipline to keep the match tight early, yet their recent mistakes and midfield absences are a difficult combination against Roma’s sustained pressure at the Olimpico. The decisive phase should come when Roma increase the tempo after the interval.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Roma have won seven of the last ten league meetings and have won each of the last five at the Stadio Olimpico. Recent encounters have generally suited Roma’s ability to control territory, with Cagliari rarely finding sustained attacking rhythm in Rome.

Injuries and absences

Roma’s absences are concentrated in decisive positions: Svilar changes the goalkeeper hierarchy, while Kone, Pellegrini and Dybala reduce midfield control and creative variety. Cagliari’s likely loss of Winks compounds their existing absences and leaves them more dependent on defensive work from Gagliardini and direct progression after recoveries.

Form (last 5)

AS RomaLeague position #3 · 18 ptsD W D

CagliariLeague position #8 · 13 ptsD L L

AS Roma vs Cagliari stats

	AS Roma	Cagliari
Played	8	8
Goals scored	19	6
Goals conceded	6	9
Clean sheets	5	3

Last meetings

2026-02-09AS Roma 2-0 Cagliari
2025-12-07Cagliari 1-0 AS Roma
2025-03-16AS Roma 1-0 Cagliari
2024-08-18Cagliari 0-0 AS Roma
2024-02-05AS Roma 4-0 Cagliari
2023-10-08Cagliari 1-4 AS Roma

Unavailable players