New York Red Bulls 1-3 New York City FC: result and AI prediction

AI match recap

This is a classic Hudson River Derby with knockout stakes, so the emotional temperature should be high from the opening whistle. Red Bulls look well set up for the occasion because the game is at Sports Illustrated Stadium, their recent Open Cup home record is strong, and Forsberg plus Hall arrive as the clearest in-form attacking references. NYCFC are still dangerous if they can play through pressure and make the match more controlled than chaotic. The likeliest story is Red Bulls trying to turn this into a fast, physical, second-ball contest and NYCFC trying to resist that script.

Head-to-head analysis

Recent league head-to-heads are mixed, but the competition-specific history is meaningful here: Red Bulls' official preview notes they have consistently handled NYCFC in elimination matches, including prior Open Cup meetings at Sports Illustrated Stadium. That gives the home side a real psychological and environmental edge even if ordinary league form has been less one-sided.

Form (last 5)

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC stats

Last meetings

• 2025-09-27New York Red Bulls 2-3 New York City FC
• 2025-05-17New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls
• 2024-11-23New York City FC 0-2 New York Red Bulls
• 2024-09-28New York Red Bulls 1-5 New York City FC
• 2024-05-18New York City FC 2-1 New York Red Bulls
• 2023-09-16New York City FC 0-0 New York Red Bulls

Other US Open Cup matches

• Charlotte – Atlanta United FC
• San Jose Earthquakes – Minnesota United FC
• Columbus Crew – One Knoxville
• New England Revolution – Orlando City SC
• Chicago Fire – St. Louis City
• Houston Dynamo – Louisville City
• Colorado Rapids – Colorado Springs