San Jose Earthquakes 4-2 Minnesota United FC: result and AI prediction

AI match recap

San Jose come into this Round of 16 tie with the sharper form and the advantage of playing at PayPal Park, which gives them a strong platform in a knockout match. Minnesota are dangerous because they have recently handled this matchup well and tend to stay organized enough to frustrate more expansive teams. Werner's return helps San Jose's attacking threat, while Rodríguez's improving fitness gives the Loons a way to slow the game down and create quality moments. The big swing factor is whether Minnesota's extra-time workload from the last round shows up in their legs late on.

Head-to-head analysis

This has been a favorable matchup for Minnesota lately: the Loons are unbeaten in the last six meetings and have won the last four competitive encounters. That recent history gives the visitors a credible blueprint even though San Jose enter in better current form.

Injuries and absences

No major confirmed absences were reported, but the late fitness picture still matters: Werner's return adds vertical threat for San Jose, while Rodríguez's recent return to meaningful minutes improves Minnesota's creativity. Both could still have their workloads managed rather than play a full match.

Form (last 5)

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC stats

Last meetings

• 2025-07-13Minnesota United FC 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes
• 2025-03-09San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Minnesota United FC
• 2024-09-01San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Minnesota United FC
• 2024-07-21Minnesota United FC 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes
• 2023-10-01Minnesota United FC 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes
• 2023-09-03San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Minnesota United FC

Other US Open Cup matches

• Charlotte – Atlanta United FC
• New York Red Bulls – New York City FC
• Columbus Crew – One Knoxville
• New England Revolution – Orlando City SC
• Chicago Fire – St. Louis City
• Houston Dynamo – Louisville City
• Colorado Rapids – Colorado Springs